Closing schedule

Next to close: lot 3272 at 12:56 CDT (closing now) · lots close one minute apart. Rows highlight at 5 minutes out and grey out once closed.

GovDeals watchlist — observed changes

12 lots with movement · log: /Users/rishu/Github/govdeals/log/bids.jsonl

**Lot 3269: ma***** proven capped at $32 (consistent with known ceiling), mh***** confirmed active with unknown ceiling ≥ $34.**

Implications:
1. **ma*****'s intra-lot cap pattern holds** – $32 on 3269 matches ceilings on 3266/3267/3276/3282. No new signal for the lots where ma is untested (3277/3279/3280/3281).
2. **mh***** is real competition** but only appeared on 3269 – doesn't affect user's target lots.
3. **User's original plan is broken** – 3272 at $22, 3273 at $20, 3274 at $18 were all leapfrogged hours ago (now $32/$32/$31). Those lots are unreachable at those prices.
4. **User should skip to 3277-3281 at $24** – those are the only lots still near their planned budget. Bid **3277 first** (closes 13:04, 13 min left), cheapest open lot at $22, ma***** untested here. A $24 bid might reveal ma's true ceiling or win outright. If outbid, proceed to 3278→3279→3280→3281.

**Next lot to act on: 3277** (13 min remaining, closes 13:04 CDT).

1. **Co***** is a new entrant**, max ≥ $42 on 3267 (just won at 12:50). Likely done — no evidence they bid elsewhere.
2. **Ca***** tested on 3267**: max was $34–$40 (led at $34, lost at $42). Confirms ca*****'s capacity varies by lot (proven $12 on 3276/3282 but higher here).
3. **No read-through to user's target lots** — ca***** bids on 3278 ($24) but ceiling there remains unknown. 3267 change doesn't help predict 3278.
4. **User's plan ($18–$22 on lots 3272/3273/3274) is dead** — those lots are at $31–32. Those bids would be instantly swallowed.
5. **Best next action: lot 3277 at 12:57 (7 min)**. Current price $22, leader ma*****. Bid $24. Ma*****'s ceiling across cheap lots is fragile — proven $22 on 3278, unknown here. A $24 bid either wins at $24 or reveals ma*****'s ceiling and you bail to 3279/3280/3281.
6. **Fallback chain**: skip 3272/3273/3274 (too expensive). Hit 3279 ($22, 13:06, 16 min), 3280 ($22, 13:07, 17 min), 3281 ($22, 13:08, 18 min) in that order at $24 each until one sticks. Skip 3278 ($24, ca*****) — too uncertain at $26+ needed.

Bid history

114 distinct bids across 15 lots

By bidder

Proven max is the only hard number: someone bid above them and their proxy did not answer. Max seen is just the highest they have reached — if they are still leading at that price it is a lower bound, not a ceiling.

All bids

AUTO = placed in the same minute as the previous bid, i.e. a proxy counter-bid. A bidder's price is only a lower bound on their hidden maximum unless a "proven ceiling" row says otherwise.

High bidders (passive)

One row per lot — the current leader. A leader marked untested has never been outbid, so their price is a lower bound on their hidden maximum. Others capped lists the rival bidders on that lot whose ceilings are proven. Earlier reads shows what this lot moved through; 20 older observation(s) are folded in there rather than shown as their own rows.